Hypotheses

Based on your analysis of the PRC-Taiwan scenario, prepare a narrative essay ranking the three hypotheses (from most likely to occur to the least likely to occur). Remember, ACH Step 7 is the most important step of all and accounts for a significant portion of your course grade. General Requirements1. Document Format.

a. MS Word document

b. One-inch (1”) marginsc. Times New Roman Fontd. Twelve (12) pitche. 6-7 pages not including cover page and bibliography2. Citation Format: The Chicago Manual of Style.3. Graphics are not allowed.4. As stated in the grading rubric, students must (1) employ imaginative approaches to answer the question being asked; (2) display an impressive command of the subject matter beyond the immediately obvious; (3) demonstrate a high level of critical thinking y reflection current and world views, and genuine intellectual development; and (4) excel in explaining all major points using multiple examples from the course readings or individual research.

Title Page

(a) Title of the paper: The PRC-Taiwan Crisis; Assessing Alternative Outcomes

(b) Student Name.

(c) Course Number.

(d) Instructor Name.

(e) Date the paper was completed. Paper Body Format: You should submit a narrative essay and not an outline. The outline below is intended to help you ensure you include all required elements.

Section I: Introduction

(a) This section briefly summarizes the scenario and the three potential outcomes (Diplomatic Solution or Limited Intervention or Direct Attack). Your thesis statement should be your assessment

Section II–Outcome

Assessed to Be Most Likely to Occur: Direct Attack Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.

(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).

(c) Identify the “linchpin” evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).

(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)Section III– Second Most Likely to Occur: enter outcome here Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.

(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).

(c) Identify the “linchpin” evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).

(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)Section IV- Least Likely to Occur: enter outcome here Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.

(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).(c) Identify the “linchpin” evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).

(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)Section V: ConclusionSection VI: Bibliography***Notes on citations and bibliography:

(a) If the information comes directly from the PRC-Taiwan scenario; no citation is required, unless it’s directly quoted.

(b) If the information comes from a source other than the PRC-Taiwan scenario, then it must be cited using the CMS format.

(c) A bibliography is required only if information contained in your report comes from a source other than the PRC-Taiwan scenario. The bibliography must contain all sources consulted and cited in preparing your paper. This includes course readings other than the scenario.

This is a sample question

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